A scenario-guided strategy for the future management of biological invasions

Núria Roura-Pascual, Wolf-Christian Saul, Cristian Pérez-Granados, Lucas Rutting, Garry D. Peterson, Guillaume Latombe, Franz Essl, Tim Adriaens, David C. Aldridge, Sven Bacher, Rubén Bernardo-Madrid, Lluis Brotons, François Diaz, Belinda Gallardo, Piero Genovesi, Marina Golivets, Pablo González-Moreno, Marcus Hall, Petra Kutlesa, Bernd LenznerChunlong Liu, Konrad Pagitz, Teresa Pastor, Wolfgang Rabitsch, Peter Robertson, Helen E. Roy, Hanno Seebens, Wojciech Solarz, Uwe Starfinger, Rob Tanner, Montserrat Vilà, Brian Leung, Carla Garcia-Lozano, Jonathan M. Jeschke

Research output: Contribution to journalPreprint

Abstract

Future dynamics of biological invasions are highly uncertain because they depend on multiple environmental, societal and socio-economic drivers. We adopted a qualitative scenario approach to explore the future of invasive alien species (IAS) in Europe and created an overall strategy for their management that considers different plausible future developments. The scenarios and strategy were developed during two online workshops with a multidisciplinary team of experts. First, we downscaled four global scenarios of biological invasions to the European level. Second, we developed a management strategy structured into 19 goals that cover a broad array of IAS-related topics (i.e. policy, research, public awareness and biosecurity), and provided solutions for achieving these goals considering the European scenarios. Third, we identified four interrelated recommendations around which any long-term strategy for managing IAS in Europe can be structured: (i) a European biosecurity regime, (ii) a dedicated communication strategy, (iii) data standardization and management tools, and (iv) a monitoring and assessment system. Finally, we identified the feasibility of the IAS management strategy, finding strong differences among the four scenarios. High levels of technological development, public environmental awareness, and effectiveness of IAS policies facilitated the implementation of the overall management strategy. Together, our results indicate that it is time for a new management of biological invasions in Europe based on a more integrative perspective across sectors and countries to be better prepared for future challenges.Competing Interest StatementThe authors have declared no competing interest.
Original languageEnglish
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 12-Sept-2022

Thematic List 2020

  • Invasive species
  • Policy

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  • The future management of biological invasions in Europe. AlienScenarios and InvasiBES policy brief

    Roura-Pascual, N., Saul, W.-C., Pérez-Granados, C., Rutting, L., Peterson, G. D., Latombe, G., Essl, F., Adriaens, T., Aldridge, D. C., Bacher, S., Bernardo-Madrid, R., Brotons, L., Diaz, F., Gallardo, B., Genovesi, P., Golivets, M., González-Moreno, P., Hall, M., Kutleša, P. & Lenzner, B. & 14 others, Liu, C., Pagitz, K., Pastor, T., Rabitsch, W., Robertson, P., Roy, H. R., Seebens, H., Solarz, W., Starfinger, U., Tanner, R., Vilà, M., Leung, B., Garcia-Lozano, C. & Jeschke, J. M., 26-Mar-2024, 7 p.

    Research output: Other contribution

    Open Access
  • European scenarios for future biological invasions

    Pérez-Granados, C., Lenzner, B., Golivets, M., Saul, W.-C., Jeschke, J. M., Essl, F., Peterson, G. D., Rutting, L., Latombe, G., Adriaens, T., Aldridge, D. C., Bacher, S., Bernardo-Madrid, R., Brotons, L., Díaz, F., Gallardo, B., Genovesi, P., González-Moreno, P., Kühn, I. & Kutleša, P. & 14 others, Leung, B., Liu, C., Pagitz, K., Pastor, T., Pauchard, A., Rabitsch, W., Robertson, P., Roy, H. E., Seebens, H., Solarz, W., Starfinger, U., Tanner, R., Vilà, M. & Roura-Pascual, N., 2-Dec-2023, In: People and Nature. 15 p.

    Research output: Contribution to journalA1: Web of Science-articlepeer-review

    Open Access

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