Climate matching and occupancy analysis of species alien to Europe in support of horizon scanning

Soria Delva; Diederik Strubbe; Bram D'hondt; Ana Luísa Nunes; Grace Bond; Katie Costello; Konstantin Gospodinov; Ana Novoa; Petr Pyšek; Jodey Peyton,; Rabitsch Wolfgang; Helen Elizabeth Roy; Riccardo Scalera; Kevin G Smith; Elena Tricarico; Tamryn Venter; Tim Adriaens

doi:10.5281/zenodo.15231368

Climate matching and occupancy analysis of species alien to Europe in support of horizon scanning

Soria Delva
, Diederik Strubbe
, Bram D'hondt
, Ana Luísa Nunes
, Grace Bond
, Katie Costello
, Konstantin Gospodinov
, Ana Novoa
, Petr Pyšek
, Jodey Peyton,
, Rabitsch Wolfgang
, Helen Elizabeth Roy
, Riccardo Scalera
, Kevin G Smith
, Elena Tricarico
, Tamryn Venter
, Tim Adriaens

Managementteam

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This report contains climatic suitability maps of freshwater and terrestrial alien species under current (2001-2025) and future (2026-2050) climates in Europe, based on the A1FI (fossil fuel intensive) scenario from the IPCC Special Report on Emissions Scenarios (SRES). The maps are based on Köppen-Geiger climatic zones and also depict a calculated standardized potential occupancy under those climates. In addition to climatic suitability maps, the report also includes maps displaying the current occupancy of the species based on GBIF data.

Oorspronkelijke taal	Engels

Uitgeverij	IUCN
Aantal pagina’s	5.368
DOI's	https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.15231368
Publicatiestatus	Gepubliceerd - 2025

Publicatie series

Naam	Rapport niet door INBO uitgegeven

Thematische Lijst 2020

Invasieve soorten

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10.5281/zenodo.15231368Licentie: CC BY

Horizon_scanning_Final_Report!!Final published version, 4,52 MB
Supp_Mat_1._Lists_species_'no_data'_and_'widely_spread'!!Final published version, 302 KB
Supp_Mat_2._Final_species_lists!!Final published version, 168 KB

1 Rapport niet door INBO uitgegeven
1 A1: Web of Science-artikel

Assessing the success of a horizon scanning approach in predicting invasive non-native species arrival
Peyton, J. M., Rorke, S., Aldridge, D. C., Pescott, O. L., Dehnen-Schmutz, K., Noble, D. G., Sewell, J., Stewart, A. J. A., Adriaens, T., Beckmann, B. C., Britton, J. R., Brodie, J., Brown, P. M. J., Cavadino, I. C. N., Clark, P. F., Dunn, A. M., Foster, J., Harrower, C., Harvey, M. C. & Jackson, M. C. & 23 anderen, Jones, T., Maggs, C. A., Martin, G., Mathews, F., Mill, A. C., Murphy, D., Paganini, E., Payne, R., Rabitsch, W., Renals, T., Schönrogge, K., Shaw, R. H., Smith, G. C., Stebbing, P. D., Stroh, P. A., Tidbury, H., Tricarico, E., Vallet, J., Walker, K. J., Wood, L. E., Wood, C. A., Woodcock, B. & Roy, H. E., 5-dec.-2025, (E-publicatie voorafgaand op geprinte versie) In: JOURNAL OF APPLIED ECOLOGY. n/a, n/a, blz. e70217
Onderzoeksoutput: Bijdrage aan tijdschrift › A1: Web of Science-artikel › peer review

Open Access
Invasive Alien Species Horizon Scanning in support of implementation of Regulation 1143/2014 - Final Study Report: Prepared under Service contract 09.0201/2023/907919/SER/ENV.D2 for the European Commission.
Nunes, A. L., Venter, T., Adriaens, T., Bond, G., Costello, K., Delva, S., Gospodinov, K., Novoa , A., Peyton, J., Pyšek, P., Rabitsch, W., Roy, H., Scalera, R., Smith, K., Tricarico, E., Aldridge, D. C., Altamirano, M., Bellotto, V., Bertolino, S. & Brundu, G. & 35 anderen, Cardoso, A. C., Cavadino, I., Dawson, W., Demetriou, J., Devisscher, S., D'hondt, B., Essl, F., Evans, T., Everts, T., Gallardo, B., García‐Berthou, E., Groom, Q., Hillaert, J., Jacobs, A., Katsanevakis, S., Marchante, E., Marchini, A., Oficialdegui, F., Olenin, S., O'Riordan, R., Pattison, Z., Petersen, F., Preda, C., Rebelo, R., Reniers, J., Scheers, K., Skuhrovec, J., Solarz, W., Steen, F., Strubbe, D., Van Landuyt, W., van Valkenburg, J., Verëll, V., Verhelst, P. & Verreycken, H., 2025, Luxemburg: Publications Office of the European Union. 234 blz.
Onderzoeksoutput: Boek/rapport › Rapport niet door INBO uitgegeven

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Dit citeren

Delva, S., Strubbe, D., D'hondt, B., Nunes, A. L., Bond, G., Costello, K., Gospodinov, K., Novoa , A., Pyšek, P., Peyton, J., Wolfgang, R., Roy, H. E., Scalera, R., Smith, K. G., Tricarico, E., Venter, T., & Adriaens, T. (2025). Climate matching and occupancy analysis of species alien to Europe in support of horizon scanning. (Rapport niet door INBO uitgegeven). IUCN. https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.15231368

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title = "Climate matching and occupancy analysis of species alien to Europe in support of horizon scanning",

abstract = "This report contains climatic suitability maps of freshwater and terrestrial alien species under current (2001-2025) and future (2026-2050) climates in Europe, based on the A1FI (fossil fuel intensive) scenario from the IPCC Special Report on Emissions Scenarios (SRES). The maps are based on K{\"o}ppen-Geiger climatic zones and also depict a calculated standardized potential occupancy under those climates. In addition to climatic suitability maps, the report also includes maps displaying the current occupancy of the species based on GBIF data.",

author = "Soria Delva and Diederik Strubbe and Bram D'hondt and Nunes, \{Ana Lu{\'i}sa\} and Grace Bond and Katie Costello and Konstantin Gospodinov and Ana Novoa and Petr Py{\v s}ek and Jodey Peyton, and Rabitsch Wolfgang and Roy, \{Helen Elizabeth\} and Riccardo Scalera and Smith, \{Kevin G\} and Elena Tricarico and Tamryn Venter and Tim Adriaens",

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Delva, S , Strubbe, D , D'hondt, B, Nunes, AL, Bond, G, Costello, K, Gospodinov, K, Novoa , A, Pyšek, P, Peyton, J, Wolfgang, R, Roy, HE, Scalera, R, Smith, KG, Tricarico, E, Venter, T & Adriaens, T 2025, Climate matching and occupancy analysis of species alien to Europe in support of horizon scanning. Rapport niet door INBO uitgegeven, IUCN. https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.15231368

TY - BOOK

T1 - Climate matching and occupancy analysis of species alien to Europe in support of horizon scanning

AU - Delva, Soria

AU - Strubbe, Diederik

AU - D'hondt, Bram

AU - Nunes, Ana Luísa

AU - Bond, Grace

AU - Costello, Katie

AU - Gospodinov, Konstantin

AU - Novoa , Ana

AU - Pyšek, Petr

AU - Peyton,, Jodey

AU - Wolfgang, Rabitsch

AU - Roy, Helen Elizabeth

AU - Scalera, Riccardo

AU - Smith, Kevin G

AU - Tricarico, Elena

AU - Venter, Tamryn

AU - Adriaens, Tim

PY - 2025

Y1 - 2025

N2 - This report contains climatic suitability maps of freshwater and terrestrial alien species under current (2001-2025) and future (2026-2050) climates in Europe, based on the A1FI (fossil fuel intensive) scenario from the IPCC Special Report on Emissions Scenarios (SRES). The maps are based on Köppen-Geiger climatic zones and also depict a calculated standardized potential occupancy under those climates. In addition to climatic suitability maps, the report also includes maps displaying the current occupancy of the species based on GBIF data.

AB - This report contains climatic suitability maps of freshwater and terrestrial alien species under current (2001-2025) and future (2026-2050) climates in Europe, based on the A1FI (fossil fuel intensive) scenario from the IPCC Special Report on Emissions Scenarios (SRES). The maps are based on Köppen-Geiger climatic zones and also depict a calculated standardized potential occupancy under those climates. In addition to climatic suitability maps, the report also includes maps displaying the current occupancy of the species based on GBIF data.

U2 - 10.5281/zenodo.15231368

DO - 10.5281/zenodo.15231368

M3 - Report not published by INBO

T3 - Rapport niet door INBO uitgegeven

BT - Climate matching and occupancy analysis of species alien to Europe in support of horizon scanning

PB - IUCN

ER -

Climate matching and occupancy analysis of species alien to Europe in support of horizon scanning

Uittreksel

Publicatie series

Thematische Lijst 2020

Toegang verkrijgen tot document

Vingerafdruk

Onderzoeksoutput

Assessing the success of a horizon scanning approach in predicting invasive non-native species arrival

Invasive Alien Species Horizon Scanning in support of implementation of Regulation 1143/2014 - Final Study Report: Prepared under Service contract 09.0201/2023/907919/SER/ENV.D2 for the European Commission.

Dit citeren